This evening I checked the Key West radar at about 10:15 PM and saw this good flight out of Cuba. The biomass of these birds is impressive!
BADBIRDZ will be back from New Zealand right after Easter, and I’m sure he will be providing us with a more comprehensive radar coverage as spring migration progresses.
This is just my humble interpretation, but it appears that a good proportion of the flocks are tending to move to the west of the Florida peninsula, over the open waters of the Gulf of Mexico, probably due to the continued strong flow from the southeast. Their rate of travel would probably bring them over the northern Gulf Coast before dawn, unless they try to fight their way back to the western coast of Florida. It would be interesting to see if there are any fall-outs.
Here is the view one hour later. The leading edge of the biomass has reached the Florida Keys.About a third are still heading out over Dry Tortugas and the open Gulf.
Unfortunately, the radar went down at 11:36 PM, but already more than 1/3 of the flock has passed over the Keys and most seem to be heading up the west coast of Florida:
Also of interest, on the evening of March 15, I captured a one-hour loop at the beginning of a similar flight, in this March 16 post. Today I found an archive of the radar that night. It should be available at this link, which requires Java, for a few more days: March 15, 2008 Key West Radar Loop, from about 9:00 PM to 1:00 AM (Be patient as it loads slowly).